Medicare Advantage Plan Payment Increase for 2026: What You Need to Know

The Medicare Advantage plan payment increase for 2026 is set to exceed $25 billion, marking a significant hike in funding. This change is crucial for addressing rising healthcare costs for seniors and enhancing the overall quality and accessibility of care. In this article, we’ll break down what this increase means for enrollees, providers, and the overall healthcare landscape.

 

Key Takeaways

 

  • The effective growth rate for Medicare Advantage in 2026 is set at 9.04%, influenced by updated cost growth data and aimed at improving healthcare quality and coverage for enrollees.

 

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Overview of the Medicare Advantage Plans Payment Increase 2026

 

Overview of the 2026 Payment Increase

 

The upcoming payment increase for Medicare Advantage plans in 2026 is projected to exceed $25 billion, marking the most significant rise in the last decade. This increase is not just a number; it represents a substantial boost in funding that will impact various stakeholders across the healthcare sector. The Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services (CMS) has released the Calendar Year 2026 Rate Announcement, revealing an average Medicare fee payment rise of 5.06% from 2025 to 2026. This adjustment aims to address the rising healthcare costs for seniors, ensuring that the quality and accessibility of healthcare services are maintained.

The anticipated payment increase of 7.2% will lead to an additional $35 billion in funding compared to previous years. This surge in investment is expected to enhance the Medicare Advantage (MA) program’s overall effectiveness, providing better services and benefits to enrollees.

The effective growth rate and average payment increase are pivotal in shaping the landscape of Medicare Advantage plans for the upcoming year.

 

Effective Growth Rate for CY 2026

The effective growth rate for Medicare Advantage in Calendar Year 2026 has been set at 9.04%, surpassing earlier projections. This significant increase is attributed to updated cost growth data, reflecting a robust trend in healthcare expenses. Stakeholders in the Medicare Advantage space will find this growth rate crucial for planning and adjusting their financial strategies accordingly.

The CY 2026 advance notice provided by CMS highlights the importance of these growth rate calculations, ensuring transparency and preparedness among all parties involved.

 

Average Payment Increase

The average payment increase for Medicare Advantage from 2025 to 2026 is estimated at 5.06%, reflecting a notable rise of 2.83 percentage points compared to previous estimates. This increase is essential for adjusting to the rising healthcare costs for seniors, ensuring that enrollees continue to receive high-quality care without a significant financial burden. The payment accuracy improvements resulting from the updated payment policies will help maintain the sustainability of the Medicare Advantage program.

Moreover, the Inflation Reduction Act plays a critical role in this context, as it emphasizes the need to establish a maximum fair price established for prescription drugs, further enhancing the affordability of healthcare services. The net payment impact of this average increase will be felt across the board, benefiting both enrollees and providers by ensuring that the funding aligns with the actual costs of delivering care.

 

CMS’s Commitment to Medicare Advantage

 

CMS's Commitment to Medicare Advantage

The Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services (CMS) are dedicated to expanding access to affordable, high-quality care through Medicare Advantage. This commitment involves a multi-faceted approach, focusing on enhancing care quality, improving accessibility, and safeguarding against waste, fraud, and abuse. Publishing advance notices early by CMS enables stakeholders to prepare for upcoming changes, leading to smoother transitions and better outcomes for enrollees.

CMS emphasizes quality and fraud prevention in its efforts to improve Medicare Advantage. The agency’s dedication to these goals is evident through its advance notifications and solicitation of stakeholder input before finalizing decisions. This collaborative approach ensures the Medicare Advantage program continues to meet beneficiaries’ needs while maintaining program integrity.

 

Expanding Access to High-Quality Care

CMS aims to enhance Medicare Advantage by promoting health equity and supporting comprehensive, person-centered care. Initiatives like the ACO REACH Model are designed to improve healthcare coordination and access, particularly for underserved populations. CMS aims for complete participation in accountable care initiatives by 2030, striving for a future where all Medicare beneficiaries receive high-quality care.

In 2023, CMS’s initiatives will provide high-quality care access to over 13.2 million Medicare beneficiaries through healthcare provider partnerships. The payment increase may lead medicare advantage insurers to enhance benefits, potentially attracting more Medicare-eligible seniors to Medicare Advantage plans.

These measures are vital for ensuring the MA program evolves and meets the changing needs of its beneficiaries.

 

Safeguarding Against Waste, Fraud, and Abuse

Efforts are underway by CMS to introduce quality measures and new measure concepts, as well as improvement measures, that will help identify and mitigate fraud and abuse in the Medicare Advantage program. CMS aims to reduce unnecessary expenditures and prevent potential losses by implementing strategies to enhance healthcare provider accountability.

These measures are essential for maintaining the integrity of the Medicare Advantage program and ensuring effective use of funds for enrollees’ benefits.

 

Key Changes in Payment Policies

The effective growth rate for Medicare Advantage in 2026 is set at 9.04%, surpassing earlier estimates due to more comprehensive data on Medicare fee-for-service costs and fee for service ffs. This increase, along with other key changes in payment policies, reflects CMS’s commitment to enhancing payment accuracy and ensuring that funds are allocated based on actual healthcare costs. The 2024 CMS-HCC risk adjustment model will be fully implemented in CY 2026, reflecting improved data accuracy and predictive capabilities.

Technical adjustment periodically enhances the accuracy of Medicare Advantage payment rates to increase payment accuracy, accounting for factors like medical education expenses for MA enrollees.

The final rule of payment policies for Medicare Advantage and Part D programs for 2026 includes these technical updates, emphasizing the importance of maintaining program integrity and accuracy.

 

Medical Education Costs Adjustment

 

Medical Education Cost Adjustment

 

For calendar year 2026, CMS will fully implement a 100% adjustment for medical education costs associated with Medicare Advantage services as part of a multi-year phase-in strategy. This adjustment ensures that medical education costs are accurately reflected in payment rates, supporting the training and development of healthcare professionals within the Medicare Advantage framework.

 

Final CY 2026 Part D Redesign Program Instructions

CMS released the Final CY 2026 Part D Redesign Program Instructions, providing comprehensive guidance on the changes to the Medicare Part D drug benefit implemented for the year. These instructions include detailed modifications to the Medicare prescription payment plan, ensuring that enrollees receive the necessary coverage for their prescription drugs.

The redesign aims to enhance the efficiency and effectiveness of the prescription drug programs, benefiting both enrollees and Medicare Advantage plans.

 

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Risk Adjustment Model Updates

 

Risk Adjustment Model Updates - Medicare Advantage Plan Payment Increase for 2026

 

Risk adjustment models are utilized to determine payment rates for Medicare Advantage plans based on the health status of enrollees. These models play a crucial role in modifying payments to healthcare providers based on the differing health needs of patients, ensuring equitable remuneration regardless of patient complexity. CMS employs multiple linear regression techniques to adjust normalization factors, ensuring that risk scores accurately reflect actual healthcare costs for Medicare Advantage plans.

Normalization factors are applied to ensure consistency in Medicare Advantage payment data and align risk scores with historical fee-for-service data. The application of these factors helps maintain the accuracy of risk scores, which are essential for predicting healthcare costs and determining appropriate payment rates.

 

Introduction to Risk Adjustment Models

Risk adjustment models are tools used to predict healthcare costs by accounting for the health status and demographic factors of enrolled individuals. These models are essential for determining payment rates for Medicare Advantage plans based on the health status of enrollees, ensuring that payments are adjusted to reflect the complexity of patients’ healthcare needs. C risk adjustment models play a crucial role in this process.

 

Impact on Risk Scores Calculated

Changes in risk adjustment methodologies will lead to recalibrated risk scores, potentially increasing payments for plans with enrollees who have significant health issues. The transition to the 2024 CMS-HCC model is expected to increase the average MA risk score by approximately 2.10% for CY 2026, reflecting a significant change in how the risk score is calculated for Medicare Advantage organizations and risk adjustment CMS.

 

Financial Implications for MA Plans

The average payment to Medicare Advantage plans is projected to rise by 5.06% from 2025 to 2026, reflecting a significant adjustment in the effective growth rate. This increase is anticipated to enhance plan profitability, potentially leading to expanded services and benefits for enrollees.

The transition to the updated risk adjustment model is expected to influence MA risk scores positively, with a projected increase of 2.10% for CY 2026. Changes in cost-sharing structures may reflect the increased funding for Medicare Advantage plans, potentially altering out-of-pocket expenses for enrollees.

Understanding these financial implications is crucial for gauging the impact of the payment increase on both plans and their enrollees, including per capita cost calculations.

 

Cost Sharing and Enrollee Impact

 

Cost Sharing and Enrollee Impact - Medicare Advantage Plan Payment Increase for 2026

 

Changes in cost-sharing structures are expected as the payment increases could lead to adjustments in enrollee cost-sharing out-of-pocket expenses. These adjustments are likely to enhance care affordability for enrollees, ensuring continued access to high-quality services without a significant financial burden.

The net payment impact will benefit both enrollees and providers by ensuring funding aligns with the actual costs of delivering care.

 

Manufacturer Discount Program

The manufacturer discount program plays a crucial role in mitigating out-of-pocket costs for beneficiaries by providing discounts on brand-name drugs. This program is expected to benefit both enrollees and Medicare Advantage plans by making prescription drugs more affordable.

The Manufacturer Discount Program will enforce discounts on prescribed drugs during specific phases of coverage, aiming to reduce costs for enrollees in the selected drug subsidy program under the Medicare Part D plan.

 

Advanced Notice and Feedback Process

Early advance notices enable Medicare Advantage plans to prepare for upcoming changes, ensuring smoother transitions. These publications enhance the clarity for stakeholders, aiding in effective planning for financial adjustments and operational changes. The Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services (CMS) is set to finalize payment rates for Medicare Advantage plans by early April 2025, which will kickstart the submission of plan bids.

Stakeholder feedback is crucial in shaping the future of Medicare Advantage plans and ensuring they meet the needs of beneficiaries. CMS is actively seeking feedback on how Medicare Advantage plans can better address health-related social needs to improve care accessibility.

This collaborative approach helps ensure that the Medicare Advantage program continues to evolve and meet the changing needs of its beneficiaries.

 

Early Advance Notice Publication

Early advance notice publications are crucial for Medicare Advantage plans as they allow stakeholders to prepare adequately for upcoming changes. Early advance notices by CMS foster transparency, aiding stakeholders in planning financial adjustments and operational changes effectively.

Despite some concerns about the clarity of proposed updates, these publications generally benefit Medicare Advantage by enhancing clarity and facilitating smoother transitions.

 

Initial Feedback from Stakeholders

CMS is actively seeking feedback on how Medicare Advantage plans can better address health-related social needs to improve care accessibility. The initial feedback from stakeholders indicates a commitment to improving care accessibility through targeted approaches that address social determinants of health.

This feedback is crucial in shaping Medicare Advantage plans, ensuring they meet beneficiaries’ needs and adapt to evolving healthcare requirements.

 

Technical Adjustments and Normalization Factors

Technical adjustments and normalization factors are crucial for ensuring the accuracy and consistency of payment data for Medicare Advantage plans. CMS employs multiple linear regression techniques to adjust these factors, ensuring that payment calculations reflect true costs. These adjustments are essential for maintaining the integrity of the Medicare Advantage program, providing a reliable basis for financial planning and cost management.

Normalization factors maintain consistency across different payment calculations when applied to the payment data. These factors standardize payment data, ensuring variances caused by different populations or risk scores do not impact the overall payment structure. This methodology is vital for accurately calculating payment adjustments based on numerous variables, ultimately enhancing the precision of Medicare Advantage payment models.

 

Multiple Linear Regression Methodology

 

Multiple Linear Regression Methodology - Medicare Advantage Plan Payment Increase for 2026

 

Multiple linear regression methodology analyzes various factors determining Medicare Advantage payment calculations. This technique measures the health status of enrollees and adjusts payment rates accordingly, ensuring consistency and reliability in payment calculations across different plans.

Implementing technical adjustments to account for discrepancies ensures payment calculations reflect true costs, enhancing the accuracy and fairness of the Medicare Advantage program.

 

Normalization Factors Application

Normalization factors are essential for ensuring payment data for Medicare Advantage plans remains consistent across different scenarios and adjustments. These factors standardize payment data, ensuring variances caused by different populations or risk scores do not impact the overall payment structure.

The methodology for applying normalization factors involves multiple linear regression, aiding in accurately calculating separate payment adjustments based on numerous variables.

 

Summary

In summary, the Medicare Advantage Plan Payment Increase for 2026 represents a significant step forward in ensuring the sustainability and effectiveness of the program. With an average payment increase of 5.06% and an effective growth rate of 9.04%, these changes are poised to enhance the quality and accessibility of healthcare services for millions of enrollees. CMS’s commitment to expanding access to high-quality care, safeguarding against waste and fraud, and implementing precise payment policies and risk adjustment models underscores their dedication to improving Medicare Advantage. As we move into 2026, these updates will play a crucial role in shaping the future of Medicare Advantage plans, ensuring that they continue to meet the needs of beneficiaries while maintaining financial integrity and program effectiveness.

Frequently Asked Questions

 

What organization released the Calendar Year 2026 Rate Announcement for Medicare Advantage and Part D Programs?

The Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services (CMS) released the Calendar Year 2026 Rate Announcement for Medicare Advantage and Part D Programs.

 

By how much are payments from the government to MA plans expected to increase from 2025 to 2026?

Payments from the government to MA plans are expected to increase by an average of 5.06% from 2025 to 2026.

 

What was the effective growth rate for Medicare Advantage set for CY 2026?

The effective growth rate for Medicare Advantage for Calendar Year 2026 is set at 9.04%.

 

What adjustment will CMS complete for CY 2026 regarding MA-related medical education costs?

CMS will fully apply the adjustment for MA-related medical education costs in CY 2026. This change emphasizes the importance of these costs in the context of Medicare Advantage.

 

What is CMS’s commitment regarding Medicare Advantage?

CMS is dedicated to enhancing access to affordable, high-quality care in Medicare Advantage while ensuring protection against waste, fraud, and abuse for both beneficiaries and taxpayers.

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Russell Noga
( Medicare Expert )

Russell Noga is the CEO of ZRN Health & Financial Services, and head content editor of several Medicare insurance online publications. He has over 15 years of experience as a licensed Medicare insurance broker helping Medicare beneficiaries learn about Medicare, Medicare Advantage Plans, Medigap insurance, and Medicare Part D prescription drug plans.